Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as an inconsistent ally. When everything clicks, they transform into the undisputed thrill-seekers, unleashing high-octane displays. But, at other times, key players like Sandro Tonali and others utterly do not show up.
Adding to the frustration is a second-half strategy riddled with a pronounced tendency of panic. Before their trip to Manchester United, the numbers tell a sobering tale: the team has dropped 13 vital top-flight leverage from leading positions this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet in 10 straight games in every tournament. Claiming three points at their famous stadium would be only their second league triumph on the travel this season.
On the flip side, a loss has been tasted on one occasion in their previous six Premier League encounters, and although occupying a seemingly lowly 11th place, they are a mere 6 marks off the highly-prized top four. Factor in an upcoming two-legged League Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a reasonable opportunity of advancing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is easier to see the manager's guarded positivity.
“We don't just have difficulties,” stated the team's head coach. “We have positives also. My glass is decidedly positive currently. I understand outside observers might have a divergent take, but my belief is we're improving.”
The challenge remains: will this collection of players recapture – or perhaps surpass – the heights of last season's Wembley triumph and fifth-place standing? Managing a congested fixture list complicates.
The resulting fatigue may account for the inability to sustain a stellar first-half performance versus Chelsea, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 advantage to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the explanation for a poor performance in a painful defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the team seemed off the pace just days after a tough Champions League excursion.
While coaching is clearly the manager's specialty, the relentless grind of two games a week football has severely cut into crucial practice time. This impedes the team's stylistic adjustment to playing with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the now departed their former star. Although hugely skilled, the German forward lacks the equivalent electric counter-attacking speed or intense pressing.
Indeed, the team's once-formidable pressing game has occasionally failed. Injuries to key engine Joelinton have exacerbated matters, while expensive signings the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have found it tough adapting after their combined £90m+ transfers.
If a move to a three-man defense might theoretically help the cause, a worsening defensive absence list renders that difficult. First-choice defenders will be absent for the upcoming key fixtures, straining the team's resources.
When playing at their energetic peak, they seem almost unstoppable. The problem is sustaining that intensity for the entire match. The often-seen alternative approach of dropping deep into a passive counter-attacking formation has sometimes proven self-destructive.
“That game became disorganized at two-all,” conceded the coach. “However we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What appears called for is a balanced approach – involving superior ball control, a midfield adept of dictating the pace, and a sensible willingness to occasionally accept a draw. Yet, a desire to challenge on all fronts is stretching thin squad resources to their limit.
This might seem heretical to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the present schedule congestion. Amid vital European and league matches on the horizon, the imperative to strategically prioritize is growing ever more obvious.
The manager recognized the magnitude of the challenge ahead. “When you're at this club, the expectations are enormous. Each game is critical. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup last four, we want to go through in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have a great deal of improvement to do to become the regularly successful team we want to be. Our capacity to string together winning runs has deserted us this season.
“The objective is to reach that standard we know we're capable of. The internal belief is that the assurance we can achieve it is coming back. But nowadays we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom currently, but the coming period will decide a great deal.”
A cybersecurity expert and digital storage consultant with over a decade of experience in data protection and cloud solutions.